Wintermute’s head of policy Ron Hammond pegs chances at 30%, citing political friction, stalled negotiations and shifting timelines despite signs of progress. Wintermute's Ron Hammond pegs a 30% chance of the Clarity Act passing in 2026, citing persistent uncertainty. Bank opposition, especially over stablecoin yield, remains the biggest obstacle despite ongoing negotiations. Lawmakers are pushing for near-term progress, but shifting timelines and political risks could delay or derail the…
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