New data shows unusually high win rates in defense bets, building on research that 3% of traders drive prices and under 1% capture most profits. Longshot bets win 51.8% of the time in Polymarket's military and defense markets, against a 14% baseline across political markets, a new study from the Anti-Corruption Data Collective has found. The findings suggest these markets are more vulnerable to information asymmetry, where a small group of traders may be operating with access to non-public…
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