Cryptocurrency5 Aug 2026SEO 881 min read

Analysis: Why bitcoin’s ‘500-day rule’ faces its biggest test yet

The so-called ‘500-day rule’ says buying BTC roughly 500 days before a bitcoin halving and selling it about 500 days after would have produced profits in prior…

The so-called ‘500-day rule’ says buying BTC roughly 500 days before a bitcoin halving and selling it about 500 days after would have produced profits in prior cycles. A once-lucrative bitcoin trading strategy known as the 500-day rule, tied to the cryptocurrency’s four-year halving cycle, is signaling a buying window opens in late November and a potential exit around mid-August 2029. Analysts warn that this cycle may differ from past ones because U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs and institutional flows…

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